Population cycles in discrete-time infectious disease models

Dynamic Complexity in Discrete - Time Population Models

Attenuant cycles in periodically forced discrete-time age-structured population models

In discrete-time age-structured population models, a periodic environment is not always deleterious. We show that it is possible to have the average of the age class populations over an attracting cycle (in a periodic environment) not less than the average of the carrying capacities (in a corresponding constant environment). In our age-structured model, a periodic environment does not increase ...

Predicting attenuant and resonant 2-cycles in periodically forced discrete-time two-species population models.

Periodic environments may either enhance or suppress a population via resonant or attenuant cycles. We derive signature functions for predicting the responses of two competing populations to 2-periodic oscillations in six model parameters. Two of these parameters provide a non-trivial equilibrium and two provide the carrying capacities of each species in the absence of the other, but the remain...

Interior-Point Methods for Estimating Seasonal Parameters in Discrete-Time Infectious Disease Models

Infectious diseases remain a significant health concern around the world. Mathematical modeling of these diseases can help us understand their dynamics and develop more effective control strategies. In this work, we show the capabilities of interior-point methods and nonlinear programming (NLP) formulations to efficiently estimate parameters in multiple discrete-time disease models using measle...

Structured models of infectious disease: inference with discrete data.

The usage of structured population models can make substantial contributions to public health, particularly for infections where clinical outcomes vary over age. There are three theoretical challenges in implementing such analyses: (i) developing an appropriate framework that models both demographic and epidemiological transitions; (ii) parameterizing the framework, where parameters may be base...